Spatially explicit bioeconomic modeling of cellulosic biomass production for biofuel in the Great Lakes Region

Jiang, Y., and S.M. Swinton

Presented at the All Scientist and GLBRC Sustainability Meeting (2009-05-05 to 2009-05-07 )

In order to examine how cellulosic biofuel manufacturing technology might affect the environmental and economic sustainability of rural landscapes, two steps need to be modeled. The first is to identify the price and cost conditions that must be met before farmers and foresters will choose to devote land to growing cellulosic biomass as feedstock for biofuels. Second, if those conditions are met, then the challenge is to identify which biofuel crops will be grown, where, and with what management practices. This poster outlines the structure and organization of a spatially explicit bioeconomic model developed to meet these twin challenges with a special geographic focus on the Great Lakes region. Based on how and where biofuel crops are grown, changes in ecosystem service flows and their tradeoffs with private profitability can be identified. The modeling result can inform policy design to develop sustainable biofuels.

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